Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 48.835261 55.895997 63.224241 71.366707 80.130154 89.249280 99.426846
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 37.373194 47.185152 57.951874 70.512156 84.636513 99.912906 117.569655
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 30.328789 41.416730 54.119544 69.476786 87.283089 107.045617 130.408478
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 25.669773 37.639050 51.883015 69.629767 90.725040 114.619342 143.360056
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.025882 34.568586 50.033289 69.827599 93.870352 121.576196 155.382918
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.262484 32.251368 48.801687 70.503247 97.362913 128.772167 167.560565
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.318567 29.337850 46.523122 69.628159 98.772687 133.351701 176.556215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.597258 27.903244 45.996462 70.822499 102.613431 140.761401 188.855166
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.221480 26.801856 45.789144 72.329064 106.774431 148.520241 201.561821
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.285146 24.633607 43.946408 71.544480 107.929708 152.533193 209.710327
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.284082 22.106432 41.396858 69.641870 107.513539 154.503164 215.298977
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.803501 22.013634 42.318314 72.436765 113.178519 164.045426 230.169855
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.061717 21.409866 42.464333 74.176645 117.517013 172.018156 243.251104
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.752687 19.626632 40.713625 73.170442 118.165350 175.307047 250.542365
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.610037 17.967303 39.017469 72.129578 118.680226 178.363860 257.501583
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.841534 16.915720 38.195042 72.283476 120.761764 183.399722 266.926827
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.172735 15.956376 37.445226 72.486338 122.871956 188.453004 276.371475
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.658768 15.245544 37.050807 73.177756 125.631479 194.341556 286.880073
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.978563 14.003671 35.654845 72.282168 126.131672 197.246119 293.582272
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.657903 13.583577 35.656817 73.504472 129.592159 204.042344 305.264996
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.406847 13.297338 35.872676 75.046058 133.503849 211.445969 317.750356
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.928393 12.254265 34.630535 74.243271 134.040093 214.349964 324.445991
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.419314 10.922802 32.728032 72.296200 132.862375 214.916224 328.087923